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A Central Limit Theorem for Temporally Non-Homogenous Markov Chains with Applications to Dynamic Programming

机译:临时非齐次马尔可夫链的中心极限定理及其在动态规划中的应用

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摘要

We prove a central limit theorem for a class of additive processes that arise naturally in the theory of finite horizon Markov decision problems. The main theorem generalizes a classic result of Dobrushin (1956) for temporally non-homogeneous Markov chains, and the principal innovation is that here the summands are permitted to depend on both the current state and a bounded number of future states of the chain. We show through several examples that this added flexibility gives one a direct path to asymptotic normality of the optimal total reward of finite horizon Markov decision problems. The same examples also explain why such results are not easily obtained by alternative Markovian techniques such as enlargement of the state space.
机译:我们证明了有限水平马尔可夫决策问题理论中自然产生的一类加法过程的中心极限定理。主定理概括了Dobrushin(1956)针对时间上非齐次的马尔可夫链的经典结果,主要的创新之处在于,此处的加和被允许同时依赖于链的当前状态和有限数量的未来状态。我们通过几个例子表明,这种增加的灵活性为有限水平马尔可夫决策问题的最优总回报的渐近正态性提供了一条直接路径。相同的例子也解释了为什么通过诸如状态空间扩大之类的替代马尔可夫技术不容易获得这样的结果。

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